CritPost Analysis

Jay Carpenter

4d (at the time of analysis)

View original LinkedIn post
✓ Completed

60/100

hybrid

You have a genuinely original insight about AI drift acceleration and an authentic voice that cuts through LinkedIn BS. But you're sabotaging your credibility by talking about 'experiments' without showing any data. You scored 1/5 on quantitative data and 2/5 on concrete examples. Every claim about 'how often this happens' or 'every outcome root-caused' is unverifiable. You're writing like someone who's done the work but showing receipts like someone who hasn't.

Dimension Breakdown

📊 How CSF Scoring Works

The Content Substance Framework (CSF) evaluates your content across 5 dimensions, each scored 0-20 points (100 points total).

Dimension Score Calculation:

Each dimension score (0-20) is calculated from 5 sub-dimension rubrics (0-5 each):

Dimension Score = (Sum of 5 rubrics ÷ 25) × 20

Example: If rubrics are [2, 1, 4, 3, 2], sum is 12.
Score = (12 ÷ 25) × 20 = 9.6 → rounds to 10/20

Why normalize? The 0-25 rubric range (5 rubrics × 5 max) is scaled to 0-20 to make all 5 dimensions equal weight in the 100-point CSF Total.

7/20
Specificity

Zero quantitative data (1/5 rubric), no concrete examples (2/5), generic entities throughout

12/20
Experience Depth

Mentions experiments repeatedly but never details a single test case, measurement, or comparison

14/20
Originality

Drift acceleration framework is genuinely novel but lacks synthesis with existing prompt engineering research

14/20
Nuance

Second-order thinking present but evidence quality critically weak (2/5), circular reasoning on root causation

13/20
Integrity

Despite authentic voice (17/20), actionability score of 3/5 and unfalsifiable claims damage credibility

Rubric Score Breakdown

🎤 Voice

Cliché Density 5/5
Structural Variety 5/5
Human Markers 5/5
Hedge Avoidance 4/5
Conversational Authenticity 5/5
Sum: 24/2519/20

🎯 Specificity

Concrete Examples 2/5
Quantitative Data 1/5
Named Entities 1/5
Actionability 3/5
Precision 2/5
Sum: 9/257/20

🧠 Depth

Reasoning Depth 4/5
Evidence Quality 2/5
Nuance 4/5
Insight Originality 4/5
Systems Thinking 3/5
Sum: 17/2514/20

💡 Originality

Novelty 3/5
Contrarian Courage 4/5
Synthesis 3/5
Unexplored Angles 4/5
Thought Leadership 3/5
Sum: 17/2514/20

Priority Fixes

Impact: 9/10
Specificity
⛔ Stop: Stop saying 'I've been running experiments' without showing what you tested. Your quantitative_data rubric score is 1/5—critically broken. Stop phrases like 'how often this happens' and 'every outcome' without numbers. The post mentions 'different prompting strategies' and 'different teardown-rebuild patterns' but never names a single one.
✅ Start: Document one complete experiment publicly. Pick your next AI coding session: track 10 attempts, measure time-to-working-code for patch-approach vs teardown-approach, record what prompts triggered drift vs which stayed coherent. Then write: '7 of 10 attempts hit drift after 3+ iterations. Teardown-rebuild averaged 12 minutes; patching averaged 23 minutes but failed 60% of the time.'
💡 Why: Your drift acceleration insight is valuable, but unquantified claims read as exaggeration on LinkedIn. One data point transforms 'interesting theory' into 'field research.' Your concrete_examples score of 2/5 means readers can't visualize or replicate your process. Numbers create belief.
⚡ Quick Win: Add to your next post: 'Last week: tested Chain of Thought vs direct prompting across 15 coding tasks. CoT reduced drift incidents from 9 to 3. Direct prompting was faster (avg 8min vs 14min) but hit teardown threshold 60% more often. Net: CoT saved 47 minutes across the set.'
Impact: 8/10
Integrity
⛔ Stop: Stop unfalsifiable absolutes. 'Every outcome of the experiment so far has been root caused to the way I used AI every single time' (location 0.82) is circular—if you only analyze user inputs, you can only find user errors. This drops your evidence_quality to 2/5. Also stop: 'Nobody talks about how often this happens'—plenty do in AI research communities.
✅ Start: Make your claims testable and bounded. Define what would prove you wrong. Write: 'In 23 of 25 recent coding sessions, drift traced to my prompt structure—usually front-loading requirements without iterative validation. The 2 exceptions appeared to be model context-window limits hitting mid-generation.' Show your failure modes, not just successes.
💡 Why: Your actionability rubric score is 3/5 because readers don't know WHAT exactly to stop or start. 'Deconstruct. Reset context. Rebuild from invariant' sounds profound but is operationally vague—what IS an invariant in this context? Specificity builds trust; absolutes destroy it. You're hurting your authentic voice (17/20) with overclaims.
⚡ Quick Win: Replace 'every outcome has been root-caused to how I used AI' with 'In 18 tracked sessions, I could trace drift to my prompting in 16 cases—usually by failing to declare constraints upfront. Two cases remain puzzling: identical prompts to GPT-4 vs Claude produced different drift profiles.'
Impact: 7/10
Experience Depth
⛔ Stop: Stop mentioning your experimental process without showing the actual experiments. You reference 'testing different prompting strategies, different levels of structure, different ways of injecting pre-reasoned context' but never detail a single strategy or comparison. This is why your evidence_quality is 2/5—it's experimental theater without experimental data.
✅ Start: Share one complete experimental protocol. Write: 'Hypothesis: Front-loading all requirements causes drift. Test: 10 tasks split into two approaches. Group A: comprehensive initial prompt with full spec. Group B: iterative prompting—core requirement first, then layer constraints. Measured: time-to-working-code, teardown frequency, lines of orphaned code. Result: Group B had 40% fewer teardowns but took 18% longer overall.'
💡 Why: Your second-order thinking (4/5 reasoning_depth) is solid, but without grounding it's just smart speculation. Readers want to learn your METHOD, not just your conclusion. Publishing protocols lets others replicate, challenge, and extend your work—that's how you move from practitioner to thought leader.
⚡ Quick Win: Create a simple public log: 'Prompt Strategy Test Log' with columns for Date, Task Type, Approach Used, Time, Outcome, Drift Y/N. Share it in your next post: 'Here's what I'm tracking—will report findings in 2 weeks.' This builds credibility through transparency.

Transformation Examples

🧠 Deepen Your Thinking
❌ Before

Every outcome of the experiment so far has been root caused to the way I used AI every single time. The only solution each time to deliver a better human-in-the-loop experience for the AI coding assistants.

✅ After

In 27 of 30 tracked sessions, drift traced directly to my prompting—usually ambiguous requirements or mid-task scope creep. But three sessions revealed something different: identical prompts to GPT-4 vs Claude produced divergent drift profiles. GPT-4 maintained coherence longer but failed harder at the boundary; Claude signaled confusion earlier through hedging language. This suggests drift has both user-controlled factors (prompt clarity) and model-specific factors (how coherence degrades across token windows). Next experiment: can early-warning signals be systematically detected?

How: Test the boundary between user error and tool limitation. Design experiments that could distinguish them: run identical prompts through different models, test whether drift patterns differ, measure if certain task types hit drift regardless of prompt quality, explore whether context window mechanics create inherent drift acceleration.

🎤 Add Authentic Voice
❌ Before

In order to trust the tools, I must know what I do to break it.

✅ After

To trust these tools, I need to know exactly how I break them.

  • Removed 'In order to' filler—more direct
  • Changed 'must' to 'need to'—less declarative, more personal
  • Fixed subject-verb agreement (tools/them)
  • Added 'exactly' for specificity and emphasis
  • Maintains your authentic frustration without formal distance
💡 Originality Challenge
❌ Before

Derivative Area: The core observation that 'AI makes mistakes and needs human oversight' is standard. Your framing around human error being the primary cause echoes common prompt engineering wisdom without advancing it.

✅ After

Challenge the emerging narrative that AI will 'write all our code soon.' Your drift research suggests the opposite: as AI gets more capable at generating coherent-feeling code, the human skill of detecting subtle logical drift becomes MORE valuable, not less. This is the anti-automation argument from someone actually using the tools.

  • Why does drift feel coherent as it happens? Explore token-level LLM mechanics—are you detecting the moment when the model's attention weights shift away from your core constraints?
  • What if drift is a feature, not a bug? When might exploratory drift actually lead to better solutions than rigid constraint-following?
  • The economics of teardown-vs-patch: at what code complexity threshold does the decision flip? Can you model this?
  • How do different AI models have different 'drift signatures'? Map the failure modes across GPT-4, Claude, Copilot—do they drift differently?
  • The psychology of drift detection: why do developers (including you) miss the early signals? Is it sunk cost, or something about how code review attention works?

30-Day Action Plan

Week 1: Quantify your current practice

Track 10 AI coding sessions this week. For each: record task description, approach used (patch vs teardown), time spent, outcome (success/fail/teardown), and what triggered the decision. Use a simple spreadsheet. Don't analyze yet—just capture raw data with timestamps and brief notes.

Success: You have 10 logged sessions with concrete numbers (minutes, iterations, decision points). You can answer: 'In what % of sessions did I hit teardown threshold?' and 'What was average time for patch-approach vs teardown-approach?'

Week 2: Document one experiment completely

Design one A/B test from your Week 1 patterns. Pick your most common drift trigger. Hypothesis: [specific claim]. Method: 5 tasks with Approach A, 5 with Approach B. Metrics: time, teardown rate, orphaned code lines. Run it. Document everything—prompts used, full output, decision points. Write up findings in 500 words.

Success: You have a complete experimental writeup with hypothesis, methodology, data table, and conclusion. At least one finding surprises you or contradicts your assumption. You can share this publicly without hedging.

Week 3: Connect your insight to existing research

Search Google Scholar and AI research communities for 'LLM coherence drift' 'context window degradation' 'prompt engineering failure modes.' Find 3-5 papers or substantial posts. Read them. Write 300 words on: How does your drift acceleration framework relate? What do they miss that you've found? Where does research validate or challenge your experience?

Success: You can say 'My findings align with Smith et al on X but diverge on Y' or 'The academic work focuses on Z, but practitioners deal with W.' Your originality score rises because you're synthesizing, not just observing. You have citations ready.

Week 4: Publish a high-CSF synthesis piece

Write a new post combining Week 1 data, Week 2 experiment, Week 3 research connections. Structure: Opening with your specific numbers, detailed experimental methodology, unexpected finding, connection to broader research, contrarian conclusion. Target 800-1000 words. Include: 5+ specific data points, 2+ citations, 1 complete before/after prompt example, your operational definition of 'invariant.'

Success: Post scores 65+ on CSF framework—every claim is backed by data or cited research, 'experiments' means documented tests, readers can replicate your approach. You've moved from interesting practitioner to credible technical voice with original research contribution.

Before You Publish, Ask:

Can a skeptical reader replicate your experiment from what you've written?

Filters for: Specificity and actionability—if they can't replicate it, you haven't shown your work. This separates documented research from anecdotal claims.

What would prove your core claim wrong?

Filters for: Intellectual integrity—unfalsifiable claims aren't insights, they're beliefs. If every outcome confirms your theory, your theory isn't testable.

Have you provided at least one concrete number, timestamp, or measurement?

Filters for: Evidence quality over storytelling—'I've been running experiments' without data is aspirational, not actual. Numbers build credibility.

Does your advice work for someone who isn't you?

Filters for: Generalizability—'rebuild from invariant' is vague unless you define what constitutes an invariant. Operational definitions make insights transferable.

What's the one finding that surprised you or contradicted your initial assumption?

Filters for: Genuine experimentation vs confirmation bias—real research produces unexpected results. If everything confirmed what you already believed, you didn't experiment, you demonstrated.

💪 Your Strengths

  • Genuinely authentic voice (17/20)—you write like a frustrated practitioner, not a guru, which cuts through LinkedIn's usual AI hype
  • Strong second-order thinking (4/5 reasoning_depth)—the drift acceleration framework showing how errors compound is non-obvious and valuable
  • Contrarian courage (4/5)—opening with 'nobody on LinkedIn tells the truth' and focusing on AI's failures challenges the dominant narrative
  • Structural variety and conversational flow (5/5 each)—the numbered teardown process, varied paragraph lengths, and direct address create engaging rhythm
  • Willingness to show ongoing uncertainty ('I'll figure it out one day')—vulnerability that builds connection rather than undermining authority
Your Potential:

You're sitting on genuine thought leadership material being held back by execution gaps. Your drift acceleration insight is original and valuable—but unsubstantiated. You have the practitioner credibility and authentic voice that most LinkedIn AI content lacks. The path forward is clear: document one experiment completely, publish the data, define your terms operationally, and connect your findings to existing research. Do this and you'll move from 'interesting voice in the noise' to 'credible technical researcher advancing the field.' Your next post with real data could hit 70+ CSF and establish you as someone practitioners trust and researchers cite. The raw material is there—now show your work.

Detailed Analysis

Score: 17/100

Rubric Breakdown

Cliché Density 5/5
Pervasive None
Structural Variety 5/5
Repetitive Varied
Human Markers 5/5
Generic Strong Personality
Hedge Avoidance 4/5
Hedged Confident
Conversational Authenticity 5/5
Stilted Natural

Overall Assessment

Highly authentic voice with strong personality. Jay writes like someone who's actually frustrated and experimenting, not teaching. Uses unconventional structure, personal pronouns, direct address, and self-awareness about failure. Minimal hedging. The 'drift' metaphor and teardown framework feel genuinely earned through practice, not borrowed theory.

Strengths:
  • • Earned authority—speaks from actual experiments and failures, not best-practice listicles. The specific pain points (orphaned functions, silent contradictions) prove hands-on experience.
  • • Conversational vulnerability—admits confusion in opening line and throughout, which makes the eventual insights feel more credible. Doesn't position himself as the expert who has it all figured out.
  • • Structural dynamism—mixes short punchy sentences ('Stop. Deconstruct. Reset.') with longer exploratory ones. Uses em-dashes, fragments, and varied paragraph lengths like actual thought.
Weaknesses:
  • • One section feels slightly abstract ('develop a strategy for this') without connecting back to concrete examples—could ground it more in a specific failure moment.
  • • The hashtag list at the end, while authentic for LinkedIn, dilutes the rawness of the voice. The frog emoji saves it, but the tags themselves feel performative.
  • • Final paragraph ('And every time, the root cause has been the same...') slightly repeats the realization already stated, creating minor redundancy in what's otherwise tight writing.

Original Post

Either I’m really bad at AI… or nobody on LinkedIn is telling the truth about what AI coding actually feels like. Here’s the reality I keep running into: If you let an AI coder run too far ahead, it doesn’t just make mistakes. It builds on top of its own drift. It feels right as it’s happening. It feels coherent. It feels close. And then you hit the moment where you realise the logic is off, the flow is wrong, and the whole thing is now running on assumptions you never intended. At that point, the fix isn’t a tweak. It’s a teardown. Not because the AI is “bad,” but because once drift enters the foundation, every layer built on top becomes a drift accelerator - orphaned functions, unused branches, silent contradictions, and code that technically works but no longer aligns with the original intent. Nobody talks about how often this happens. Nobody talks about how many “almost right” attempts end in a rewrite. Nobody talks about how much context you have to reset to avoid looping back into the same failure mode. I’ve been running experiments on this as a side project to my side project - testing different prompting strategies, different levels of structure, different ways of injecting pre‑reasoned context, and different teardown‑and‑rebuild patterns. The biggest takeaway? The moment you notice the first error in logic, flow, or output - stop. 1. Deconstruct. 2. Reset the context. 3. Rebuild from the invariant, not the patch. Trying to “fix” drifted code just compounds the drift. Develop a strategy for this. It completely changed how I use AI for coding, even if it was just for the sake of experimenting with the tools I have. In order to trust the tools, I must know what I do to break it. Every outcome of the experiment so far has been root caused to the way I used AI every single time. The only solution each time to deliver a better human-in-the-loop experience for the AI coding assistants. That’s been the whole point of these experiments - not to blame the tools, but to understand the boundary conditions of my own prompting. If I want to trust the system, I have to know exactly how I break it. And every time, the root cause has been the same: drift enters when I let it. I'll figure it out one day. — Jay hashtag #AICoding hashtag #AIEngineering hashtag #PromptDesign hashtag #SoftwareDevelopment hashtag #AIDrift hashtag #HumanInTheLoop hashtag #AIPractices hashtag #BuildInPublic hashtag #TechLeadership hashtag #AIReality 🐸

Source: LinkedIn (Chrome Extension)

Content ID: bbcf1d19-664a-42ea-952d-1b6f74d74d11

Processed: 2/16/2026, 2:57:34 PM